Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 291.623681 330.014151 372.771453 424.143085 484.477792 553.441842 638.735937
2025-06-01 233.465154 283.344817 343.954567 423.900307 527.890958 660.421659 845.125530
2025-06-08 198.262551 251.559557 320.061725 416.189322 550.269991 734.802233 1015.527867
2025-06-15 176.729455 232.332817 307.107423 417.521707 580.847069 821.039275 1216.037482
2025-06-22 156.980226 212.254199 289.324079 407.941082 592.147466 878.680557 1382.865362
2025-06-29 143.190252 198.512213 278.190512 405.528342 612.368295 951.555355 1588.607337
2025-07-06 127.879816 180.794045 258.976752 387.735604 604.628838 976.091654 1713.061321
2025-07-13 122.410810 176.990171 260.042850 401.699049 650.796673 1100.269526 2054.068634
2025-07-20 118.281637 174.700778 263.000672 418.794611 704.547939 1247.740489 2482.525109
2025-07-27 111.580502 167.686187 257.540520 420.586387 730.408264 1346.120063 2832.373574
2025-08-03 103.205916 157.249408 245.403981 409.014938 728.982110 1388.587390 3063.223132
2025-08-10 96.261990 148.601072 235.484476 400.275250 731.683553 1439.950781 3331.353989
2025-08-17 93.352326 146.558816 236.907356 413.196802 781.052521 1606.087055 3966.952294
2025-08-24 88.651333 141.108523 231.858111 413.137718 803.284413 1714.998110 4485.629252
2025-08-31 83.342968 134.197295 223.560848 405.657602 808.063051 1782.481510 4905.292856
2025-09-07 79.729142 129.993528 219.837177 406.949114 832.718839 1905.671311 5559.738371
2025-09-14 75.059528 123.577825 211.462553 397.664482 831.328370 1959.788128 5999.160731
2025-09-21 71.641605 119.203678 206.613679 395.326047 846.268097 2062.492495 6669.939494
2025-09-28 66.732218 111.793673 195.386959 378.078197 822.029373 2048.092938 6873.138254
2025-10-05 65.693258 111.498348 198.014009 391.614481 877.749652 2284.556641 8262.146909
2025-10-12 64.995523 111.785524 201.798475 408.182556 944.391116 2574.714083 10104.142522
2025-10-19 62.808092 109.077231 199.297850 409.918765 971.278945 2743.354232 11476.554398
2025-10-26 59.514852 104.037639 191.649993 398.705237 960.300891 2779.829339 12167.709549